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HNK Rijeka vs NK Varaždin — Prediction

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 · HNL
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
NK Varaždin NK Varaždin

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
1 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
HNL
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

HNK Rijeka
  • Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split
  • NK Lokomotiva 0–0 HNK Rijeka
  • HNK Rijeka 4–1 NK Osijek
  • HNK Rijeka 2–1 Rudes
NK Varaždin
  • NK Varaždin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo
  • NK Varaždin 0–0 NK Osijek
  • HNK Gorica 2–2 NK Varaždin
  • NK Varaždin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split
  • Hradec Králové 2–0 NK Varaždin
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: HNK Rijeka 36 · NK Varaždin 36. Data saved: 2026-10-31 16:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: HNK Rijeka 45% · 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 49%
Home Win 2.05
X 27%
Draw 3.69
2 24%
Away Win 4.13
Model goal expectation · 1 1.41
Model goal expectation · 2 0.91
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: HNK Rijeka 1.41 · NK Varaždin 0.91.
1 49% · X 27% · 2 24%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.9%
1:1 12.6%
0:0 9.8%
2:0 9.8%
0:1 8.9%
2:1 8.9%
1:2 5.7%
3:0 4.6%
3:1 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
2:2 4%
3:2 1.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome HNK Rijeka Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

HNK Rijeka NK Varaždin
4 League Position 3
53 Points 54
39% Win % 42%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28

Venue Form

HNK Rijeka at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
NK Varaždin Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Rijeka
L W D W W
NK Varaždin
L D D W L

More HNL Predictions

Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb
Sat 31 Oct Tip: 1 · 46%
NK Lokomotiva vs NK Osijek
Sun 01 Nov Tip: 1 · 47%