HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · HNL
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
HNL
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

HNK Hajduk Split
  • HNK Rijeka 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split
  • HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Slaven Belupo
  • Rudes 0–4 HNK Hajduk Split
  • NK Varaždin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split
  • Pafos FC 4–0 HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica 0–0 NK Lokomotiva
  • Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica 2–2 NK Varaždin
  • Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Osijek
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: HNK Hajduk Split 36 · HNK Gorica 36. Data saved: 2026-10-31 06:01 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: HNK Hajduk Split 58% · 2026-10-31 05:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.83
Model goal expectation · 2 0.77
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: HNK Hajduk Split 1.83 · HNK Gorica 0.77.
1 63% · X 22% · 2 15%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
2:0 12.4%
1:1 10.5%
2:1 9.6%
3:0 7.6%
0:0 7.4%
3:1 5.9%
0:1 5.7%
1:2 4%
2:2 3.7%
4:0 3.5%
4:1 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome HNK Hajduk Split Win
Probability 63%
Predicted Odds 1.59

Team Comparison

HNK Hajduk Split HNK Gorica
2 League Position 8
68 Points 41
56% Win % 31%
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33

Venue Form

HNK Hajduk Split at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
HNK Gorica Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

HNK Hajduk Split
L W W L L
HNK Gorica
D W D L L