1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
29%
Draw
3.43
2
31%
Away Win
3.27
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.2 goals and Zhejiang Professional an expected 1.0 goals. Henan FC have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Zhejiang Professional at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
1:1
13.3%
0:0
11.4%
0:1
11.3%
2:0
8%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
3.9%
3:0
3.1%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Zhejiang Professional | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 15 | Points | 17 |
| 40% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Zhejiang Professional Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
W
Zhejiang Professional
W
D