1
34%
Home Win
2.94
X
29%
Draw
3.45
2
37%
Away Win
2.7
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals and SHANGHAI SIPG an expected 1.1 goals. Henan FC have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and SHANGHAI SIPG at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.4%
1:0
11.7%
0:0
10.9%
1:2
7.6%
2:1
7.2%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
2.9%
0:3
2.7%
3:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | SHANGHAI SIPG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | SHANGHAI SIPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 13 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 40% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
L
W
Head to Head
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 2
Henan Jianye
W
SHANGHAI SIPG
4 : 1
Henan Jianye
L
Henan Jianye
1 : 3
SHANGHAI SIPG
W
