1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
29%
Draw
3.49
2
27%
Away Win
3.65
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 0.9 goals. Henan FC have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
11.2%
0:1
10.4%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 2 |
| 22 | Points | 31 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
D
W
L
L
W
Qingdao Youth Island
W
Head to Head
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 0
Henan Jianye
D
Qingdao Youth Island
2 : 1
Henan Jianye
L
Henan Jianye
2 : 3
Qingdao Youth Island
W
