1
40%
Home Win
2.5
X
32%
Draw
3.13
2
28%
Away Win
3.55
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
0.82
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Henan FC an expected 1.0 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 0.8 goals. Henan FC have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.1%
0:0
15.5%
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.7%
2:0
8.4%
2:1
6.9%
1:2
5.5%
0:2
5.2%
3:0
2.9%
2:2
2.9%
3:1
2.4%
1:3
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Henan FC | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 4 |
| 22 | Points | 29 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
Venue Form
Henan FC at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Henan FC
D
W
L
L
W
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
