1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
18%
Draw
5.47
2
8%
Away Win
13.3
xG Home
2.02
xG Away
0.47
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Heart of Midlothian an expected 2.0 goals and St. Mirren an expected 0.5 goals. Heart of Midlothian have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and St. Mirren at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
16.9%
1:0
16.8%
3:0
11.4%
0:0
8.3%
2:1
7.9%
1:1
7.9%
4:0
5.7%
3:1
5.3%
0:1
3.9%
4:1
2.7%
2:2
1.9%
1:2
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Heart of Midlothian Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Heart of Midlothian | St. Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 70 | Points | 30 |
| 64% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Heart of Midlothian at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
St. Mirren Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Heart of Midlothian
W
W
W
L
St. Mirren
L
D
W
L
