1
54%
Home Win
1.85
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
22%
Away Win
4.52
xG Home
1.73
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Falkirk an expected 1.7 goals and Dundee an expected 1.0 goals. Falkirk have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Dundee at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:0
11.1%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.6%
0:1
6.5%
0:0
6.4%
1:2
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
3:0
5.5%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Falkirk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Falkirk | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 9 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 39% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
Venue Form
Falkirk at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Dundee Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Falkirk
W
L
W
Dundee
L
L
L
W
