1
29%
Home Win
3.51
X
26%
Draw
3.92
2
46%
Away Win
2.18
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HamKam an expected 1.1 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.5 goals. HamKam have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Tromsø IL at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9.2%
0:2
8.1%
1:0
8%
0:0
7%
2:1
6.9%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4.7%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
4.1%
2:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tromsø IL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| HamKam | Tromsø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 3 |
| 37 | Points | 57 |
| 33% | Win % | 60% |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
HamKam at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Tromsø IL Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
HamKam
L
W
W
W
Tromsø IL
W
D
W
