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HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 — Prediction

HamKam HamKam
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

HamKam
  • HamKam 0–3 Rosenborg BK
  • HamKam 0–2 Bodø/Glimt
  • Start 2–4 HamKam
  • Tromsø IL 3–2 HamKam
  • HamKam 1–5 Molde
Sarpsborg 08
  • Sarpsborg 08 0–1 Aalesund
  • Sarpsborg 08 0–3 Rosenborg BK
  • Aalesund 2–4 Sarpsborg 08
  • Sarpsborg 08 1–3 KFUM Oslo
  • Fredrikstad 1–1 Sarpsborg 08
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: HamKam 30 · Sarpsborg 08 30. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: HamKam 40% · 2026-11-07 01:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.59
Model goal expectation · 2 1.46
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 61%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: HamKam 1.59 · Sarpsborg 08 1.46.
1 41% · X 24% · 2 35%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11%
2:1 8.7%
1:2 8%
1:0 7.5%
0:1 6.9%
2:2 6.4%
2:0 6%
0:2 5.1%
0:0 4.7%
3:1 4.6%
1:3 3.9%
3:2 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome HamKam Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44

Team Comparison

HamKam Sarpsborg 08
11 League Position 9
37 Points 41
33% Win % 37%
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

HamKam at Home
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

HamKam
L L W L L
Sarpsborg 08
L L W L D

Head to Head

26 Jul 2026 eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 1 : 0 HamKam
L

More Eliteserien Predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 51%
Rosenborg BK vs Start
Sat 07 Nov
Fredrikstad vs Brann
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 38%
Lillestrøm vs Aalesund
Sun 08 Nov
Sandefjord vs Molde
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 49%

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02

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03

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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