1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.72
xG Away
1.28
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives HamKam an expected 1.7 goals and Lillestrøm an expected 1.3 goals. HamKam have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Lillestrøm at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.6%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
5%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | HamKam Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
HamKam at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Lillestrøm Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
HamKam
L
W
W
W
Lillestrøm
W
L
W
