1
20%
Home Win
5
X
22%
Draw
4.54
2
58%
Away Win
1.73
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.92
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Halmstad an expected 1.0 goals and Sirius an expected 1.9 goals. Halmstad have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Sirius at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
0:1
10%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.6%
1:3
6.3%
0:3
6.1%
1:0
5.4%
2:1
5.4%
0:0
5.2%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
3.3%
1:4
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sirius Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Halmstad | Sirius | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 35 | Points | 39 |
| 33% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
Halmstad at Home
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Sirius Away
W5
D1
L1
(7 games)
Recent Form
Halmstad
L
L
L
D
L
Sirius
W
W
W
W
D
