Halmstad vs Malmö FF Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · Allsvenskan
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.67
xG Away 1.66
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 39%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Halmstad an expected 0.7 goals and Malmö FF an expected 1.7 goals. Halmstad have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Malmö FF at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 16.2%
0:2 13.4%
1:1 10.8%
0:0 9.7%
1:2 9%
0:3 7.5%
1:0 6.5%
1:3 5%
2:1 3.6%
0:4 3.1%
2:2 3%
2:0 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Malmö FF Win
Probability 61%
Predicted Odds 1.64
Market Odds 1.74

Team Comparison

Halmstad Malmö FF
11 League Position 6
35 Points 49
33% Win % 43%
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Halmstad at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Malmö FF Away
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Halmstad
W L L L D
Malmö FF
L D W L W