1
32%
Home Win
3.13
X
42%
Draw
2.38
2
26%
Away Win
3.84
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
BTTS
20%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Haiti an expected 0.6 goals and Scotland an expected 0.6 goals. Haiti have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 42%, and Scotland at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
30.3%
1:0
19.5%
0:1
16.7%
1:1
10.7%
2:0
6.3%
0:2
4.6%
2:1
3.5%
1:2
3%
3:0
1.3%
2:2
1%
0:3
0.8%
3:1
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Haiti Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Haiti | Scotland | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |