1
11%
Home Win
8.99
X
17%
Draw
5.94
2
72%
Away Win
1.39
xG Home
0.82
xG Away
2.39
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.8 goals and Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 2.4 goals. Gwangju FC have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Ulsan Hyundai FC at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
11.5%
0:1
9.6%
1:2
9.5%
0:3
9.1%
1:1
7.9%
1:3
7.5%
0:4
5.4%
1:4
4.5%
0:0
4%
2:2
3.9%
1:0
3.3%
2:1
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ulsan Hyundai FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 2 |
| 15 | Points | 47 |
| 3% | Win % | 47% |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 2.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Ulsan Hyundai FC Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
L
D
Ulsan Hyundai FC
L
D
D
D
