1
46%
Home Win
2.17
X
30%
Draw
3.33
2
24%
Away Win
4.18
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Incheon United an expected 1.2 goals and Pohang Steelers an expected 0.8 goals. Incheon United have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Pohang Steelers at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.6%
0:0
13.8%
1:1
12.9%
0:1
10.7%
2:0
10%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
5%
0:2
4.2%
3:0
4%
3:1
3.1%
2:2
3%
1:3
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Incheon United | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 7 |
| 39 | Points | 40 |
| 33% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
Venue Form
Incheon United at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Pohang Steelers Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Incheon United
D
W
W
L
Pohang Steelers
D
L
L
L
W
