Gwangju FC vs Jeju United FC Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · K League 1
1 11%
Home Win 9.21
X 24%
Draw 4.21
2 65%
Away Win 1.53
xG Home 0.49
xG Away 1.63
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 31%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.5 goals and Jeju United FC an expected 1.6 goals. Gwangju FC have a 11% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Jeju United FC at 65%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 19.5%
0:2 15.9%
0:0 12%
1:1 9.6%
0:3 8.6%
1:2 7.8%
1:0 5.9%
1:3 4.2%
0:4 3.5%
2:1 2.4%
2:2 1.9%
1:4 1.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jeju United FC Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Gwangju FC Jeju United FC
12 League Position 8
10 Points 24
5% Win % 32%
0.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
2.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Gwangju FC at Home
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate
Jeju United FC Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Gwangju FC
D L D
Jeju United FC
D

Head to Head

01 Mar 2026 K League 1
Jeju United FC 0 : 0 Gwangju FC
D
02 Nov 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC 2 : 0 Jeju United FC
L
30 Aug 2025 K League 1
Jeju United FC 0 : 1 Gwangju FC
W