1
7%
Home Win
14.79
X
16%
Draw
6.42
2
78%
Away Win
1.29
xG Home
0.52
xG Away
2.29
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.5 goals and Incheon United an expected 2.3 goals. Gwangju FC have a 7% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Incheon United at 78%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
15.8%
0:1
13.8%
0:3
12.1%
1:2
8.2%
1:1
7.1%
0:4
6.9%
1:3
6.3%
0:0
6%
1:4
3.6%
1:0
3.1%
2:2
2.1%
2:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 78% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.28 |
| Market Odds | 1.36 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 7 |
| 10 | Points | 27 |
| 5% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
Incheon United
W
L
