1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
2.01
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gwangju FC an expected 0.8 goals and Incheon United an expected 2.0 goals. Gwangju FC have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Incheon United at 65%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
11.8%
0:1
11.7%
1:2
9.8%
1:1
9.7%
0:3
7.9%
1:3
6.6%
0:0
5.8%
1:0
4.8%
2:2
4.1%
2:1
4%
0:4
4%
1:4
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Incheon United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Gwangju FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 6 |
| 21 | Points | 46 |
| 9% | Win % | 36% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Gwangju FC at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Gwangju FC
D
L
D
L
D
Incheon United
D
L
L
W
L