Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC — Prediction

Gwangju FC

0 – 1

Most likely score (model)

Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · K League 1

Open Match Centre

Score · Lineups · Live stats

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Match information

Scheduled

Kickoff: 31 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
Competition: K League 1

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Gwangju FC

2026-10-24 Bucheon FC 1995 0–3 Gwangju FC
2026-09-20 Jeonbuk Motors 2–2 Gwangju FC
2026-09-13 Gwangju FC 1–1 FC Anyang
2026-09-09 Gwangju FC 0–1 Jeju United FC
2026-09-06 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

2026-10-24 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–2 Daejeon Hana Citizen
2026-09-19 Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2026-09-13 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gangwon FC
2026-09-09 Pohang Steelers 0–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2026-09-06 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Gwangju FC

Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Gwangju FC 33 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33. Data saved: 2026-10-31 06:01 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Gwangju FC 37% · 2026-10-31 05:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.97

Model goal expectation · 2 1.55

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

BTTS 49%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Gwangju FC 0.97 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.55.
1 24% · X 26% · 2 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 12.4%

1:1 12.1%

0:2 9.6%

1:2 9.4%

0:0 8%

1:0 7.8%

2:1 5.9%

0:3 5%

1:3 4.8%

2:2 4.6%

2:0 3.8%

2:3 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome	Gimcheon Sangmu FC Win
Probability	51%
Predicted Odds	1.96

Team Comparison

Gwangju FC		Gimcheon Sangmu FC
12	League Position	10
21	Points	34
9%	Win %	15%
0.91	Avg Goals Scored	1
2.09	Avg Goals Conceded	1.24

Venue Form

Gwangju FC at Home

W0 D1 L1 (2 games)

0% win rate

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away

W1 D1 L0 (2 games)

50% win rate

Recent Form

Gwangju FC

W D D L D

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

L W D D D

Head to Head

06 Sep 2026 k_league

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 : 2 Gwangju FC

22 Jul 2026 k_league

Gwangju FC 1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC