Guatemala vs Panama Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 21 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 46%
Home Win 2.15
X 25%
Draw 3.93
2 28%
Away Win 3.55
xG Home 1.53
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Guatemala an expected 1.5 goals and Panama an expected 1.1 goals. Guatemala have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Panama at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 7.9%
0:0 7%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Panama Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Head to Head

18 Oct 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama 3 : 0 Guatemala
L
11 Sep 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala 1 : 1 Panama
D
13 Mar 2023 Friendlies
Guatemala 1 : 1 Panama
D