Guatemala vs Panama Prediction

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1 – 2
Most Likely Score
Sat, 21 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 17%
Home Win 6.04
X 20%
Draw 5.1
2 64%
Away Win 1.57
xG Home 1.02
xG Away 2.18
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Guatemala an expected 1.0 goals and Panama an expected 2.2 goals. Guatemala have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Panama at 64%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 9.9%
0:2 9.7%
1:1 9.1%
0:1 8.9%
1:3 7.2%
0:3 7.1%
2:2 5%
2:1 4.6%
1:0 4.2%
0:0 4.1%
1:4 3.9%
0:4 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Panama Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Guatemala Panama
2 League Position 1
6 Points 9
67% Win % 100%
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 3.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Head to Head

18 Oct 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama 3 : 0 Guatemala
L
11 Sep 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guatemala 1 : 1 Panama
D
13 Mar 2023 Friendlies
Guatemala 1 : 1 Panama
D