1
21%
Home Win
4.86
X
24%
Draw
4.13
2
55%
Away Win
1.81
xG Home
0.92
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gremio an expected 0.9 goals and Palmeiras an expected 1.7 goals. Gremio have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Palmeiras at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.5%
1:1
11.5%
0:2
10.5%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.5%
1:0
6.9%
0:3
5.9%
1:3
5.4%
2:1
5.3%
2:2
4.4%
2:0
3.2%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Gremio | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 2 |
| 49 | Points | 76 |
| 34% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
Venue Form
Gremio at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Palmeiras Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gremio
L
W
D
Palmeiras
W
D
W
