Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.35
xG Away 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.4 goals and Daejeon Citizen an expected 1.0 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Daejeon Citizen at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
1:0 12.8%
0:1 9.5%
0:0 9.5%
2:1 8.7%
2:0 8.7%
1:2 6.4%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.4%
3:1 3.9%
3:0 3.9%
1:3 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Daejeon Citizen Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Daejeon Citizen Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
W
Daejeon Citizen
L

Head to Head

14 Mar 2026 K League 1
Daejeon Citizen 1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
30 Nov 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 : 3 Daejeon Citizen
L
31 Aug 2025 K League 1
Daejeon Citizen 2 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
L