Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · K League 1
1 44%
Home Win 2.29
X 29%
Draw 3.46
2 27%
Away Win 3.65
xG Home 1.25
xG Away 0.92
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.2 goals and Daejeon Citizen an expected 0.9 goals. Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Daejeon Citizen at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.2%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 11.4%
0:1 10.6%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 8.2%
1:2 6.1%
0:2 4.9%
2:2 3.8%
3:0 3.7%
3:1 3.4%
1:3 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Daejeon Citizen Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Daejeon Citizen Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
W
Daejeon Citizen
L

Head to Head

14 Mar 2026 K League 1
Daejeon Citizen 1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
30 Nov 2025 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 : 3 Daejeon Citizen
L
31 Aug 2025 K League 1
Daejeon Citizen 2 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
L