1
87%
Home Win
1.14
X
9%
Draw
11.7
2
3%
Away Win
28.65
xG Home
3.23
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Germany an expected 3.2 goals and Paraguay an expected 0.6 goals. Germany have a 87% win probability, draw stands at 9%, and Paraguay at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
12.8%
2:0
11.8%
4:0
10.3%
1:0
7.3%
3:1
7.1%
2:1
6.6%
4:1
5.7%
1:1
4.1%
0:0
2.3%
3:2
2%
2:2
1.8%
4:2
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Germany Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 87% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.15 |
| Market Odds | 1.22 |
Team Comparison
| Germany | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
