1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
26%
Away Win
3.83
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Germany an expected 1.6 goals and Ivory Coast an expected 1.1 goals. Germany have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Ivory Coast at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
8.6%
0:1
7.3%
0:0
6.7%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Germany Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Germany | Ivory Coast | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |