1
16%
Home Win
6.08
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
55%
Away Win
1.81
xG Home
0.60
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gent an expected 0.6 goals and Union Saint-Gilloise an expected 1.4 goals. Gent have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Union Saint-Gilloise at 55%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
19.2%
0:0
14.1%
0:2
13%
1:1
11.5%
1:0
8.5%
1:2
7.8%
0:3
5.9%
1:3
3.5%
2:1
3.5%
2:0
2.5%
2:2
2.3%
0:4
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Union Saint-Gilloise Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Gent | Union Saint-Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 24 | Points | 36 |
| 42% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.55 |
Venue Form
Gent at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
Union Saint-Gilloise Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gent
D
D
D
L
D
Union Saint-Gilloise
D
L
W