1
43%
Home Win
2.32
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
30%
Away Win
3.37
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gent an expected 1.3 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 1.1 goals. Gent have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and KV Mechelen at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
1:0
12.1%
0:1
9.6%
0:0
9%
2:1
8.6%
2:0
8.1%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.1%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.9%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gent Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 5 |
| 24 | Points | 24 |
| 42% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Gent at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
KV Mechelen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gent
D
D
D
L
D
KV Mechelen
L
L
D
Head to Head
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Gent
L
Gent
1 : 1
KV Mechelen
D
Gent
3 : 1
KV Mechelen
L
