1
45%
Home Win
2.24
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
30%
Away Win
3.33
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gent an expected 1.5 goals and Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals. Gent have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Anderlecht at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
7.9%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.2%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gent Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Gent | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 42% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Gent at Home
W0
D4
L1
(5 games)
Anderlecht Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gent
D
D
D
L
D
Anderlecht
D
L
W
