1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genclerbirligi an expected 1.2 goals and Kasımpaşa an expected 0.9 goals. Genclerbirligi have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Kasımpaşa at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
11.3%
0:1
10.6%
2:0
8.7%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
5%
2:2
3.8%
3:0
3.6%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Genclerbirligi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Genclerbirligi | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 13 |
| 34 | Points | 35 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Genclerbirligi at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Kasımpaşa Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Genclerbirligi
L
W
W
L
Kasımpaşa
W
W
L
L
