1
15%
Home Win
6.68
X
19%
Draw
5.19
2
66%
Away Win
1.52
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
2.18
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genclerbirligi an expected 0.9 goals and Fenerbahce an expected 2.2 goals. Genclerbirligi have a 15% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Fenerbahce at 66%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.5%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.6%
1:1
9%
0:3
7.7%
1:3
7.2%
2:2
4.6%
0:0
4.4%
2:1
4.2%
0:4
4.2%
1:0
4.1%
1:4
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fenerbahce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Genclerbirligi | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 2 |
| 34 | Points | 74 |
| 26% | Win % | 62% |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.26 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Genclerbirligi at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Fenerbahce Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Genclerbirligi
W
W
L
Fenerbahce
W
L
W
