Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 09 May 2026 · Süper Lig
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.98
xG Away 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Galatasaray an expected 3.0 goals and Antalyaspor an expected 0.6 goals. Galatasaray have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Antalyaspor at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.4%
3:0 12.3%
4:0 9.2%
1:0 8.3%
2:1 7.4%
3:1 7.4%
4:1 5.5%
1:1 5%
0:0 2.8%
2:2 2.2%
3:2 2.2%
0:1 1.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Galatasaray Win
Probability 84%
Predicted Odds 1.19
Market Odds 1.27

Team Comparison

Galatasaray Antalyaspor
1 League Position 16
77 Points 32
71% Win % 24%
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Galatasaray at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Antalyaspor Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Galatasaray
W W W
Antalyaspor
L L L