1
42%
Home Win
2.37
X
28%
Draw
3.52
2
29%
Away Win
3.4
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GAIS an expected 1.3 goals and Malmö FF an expected 1.0 goals. GAIS have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Malmö FF at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.2%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
10.5%
0:1
10.5%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
8.2%
1:2
6.6%
0:2
5.2%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.4%
3:1
3.4%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GAIS Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| GAIS | Malmö FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 52 | Points | 49 |
| 47% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
GAIS at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Malmö FF Away
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
GAIS
W
W
W
D
Malmö FF
D
W
L
W
W
