1
33%
Home Win
3.05
X
29%
Draw
3.41
2
38%
Away Win
2.64
xG Home
1.03
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.0 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.1 goals. Fredrikstad have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Tromsø IL at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
13%
1:0
11.8%
0:0
11.4%
1:2
7.6%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
6.9%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
2.9%
0:3
2.8%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tromsø IL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | Tromsø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 3 |
| 42 | Points | 57 |
| 37% | Win % | 60% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Tromsø IL Away
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
D
L
L
Tromsø IL
L
W
W
D
W
