1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aalesund an expected 1.7 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.3 goals. Aalesund have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.7%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
5.1%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aalesund Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
Aalesund at Home
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Aalesund
L
D
D
D
Sarpsborg 08
D
D
D
L
L
