1
35%
Home Win
2.83
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
37%
Away Win
2.68
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.2 goals and Sandefjord an expected 1.2 goals. Fredrikstad have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Sandefjord at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
10.8%
1:0
10.4%
0:0
8.7%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
3.3%
3:1
3.1%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sandefjord Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | Sandefjord | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 5 |
| 42 | Points | 48 |
| 37% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Sandefjord Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
L
L
Sandefjord
L
L
L
