Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.21
xG Away 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.2 goals and Sandefjord an expected 1.2 goals. Fredrikstad have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Sandefjord at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
0:1 10.7%
1:0 10.4%
0:0 8.6%
1:2 8.1%
2:1 7.8%
0:2 6.7%
2:0 6.3%
2:2 4.9%
1:3 3.4%
3:1 3.1%
0:3 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Fredrikstad Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Fredrikstad Sandefjord
8 League Position 5
42 Points 48
37% Win % 50%
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4

Venue Form

Fredrikstad at Home
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate
Sandefjord Away
W0 D0 L4 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Fredrikstad
D L L
Sandefjord
L L L L

Head to Head

25 May 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord 1 : 1 Fredrikstad
D
26 Oct 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord 0 : 0 Fredrikstad
D
21 Apr 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad 3 : 1 Sandefjord
L