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Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg BK — Prediction

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Rosenborg BK Rosenborg BK

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Eliteserien
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Fredrikstad
  • Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad
  • Vålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad
  • Fredrikstad 1–1 Sarpsborg 08
  • Fredrikstad 1–0 Sandefjord
  • Rosenborg BK 4–0 Fredrikstad
Rosenborg BK
  • HamKam 0–3 Rosenborg BK
  • Kristiansund BK 1–3 Rosenborg BK
  • Rosenborg BK 5–3 Tromsø IL
  • Rosenborg BK 4–0 HamKam
  • Brann 2–2 Rosenborg BK
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Fredrikstad 30 · Rosenborg BK 30. Data saved: 2026-10-31 01:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Fredrikstad 38% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 40%
Home Win 2.48
X 29%
Draw 3.48
2 31%
Away Win 3.23
Model goal expectation · 1 1.21
Model goal expectation · 2 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 45%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Fredrikstad 1.21 · Rosenborg BK 1.02.
1 40% · X 29% · 2 31%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 13%
0:1 11%
0:0 10.8%
2:1 8%
2:0 7.8%
1:2 6.8%
0:2 5.6%
2:2 4.1%
3:1 3.2%
3:0 3.2%
1:3 2.3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Fredrikstad Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5

Team Comparison

Fredrikstad Rosenborg BK
8 League Position 7
42 Points 42
37% Win % 37%
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4

Venue Form

Fredrikstad at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Rosenborg BK Away
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Fredrikstad
L D D W L
Rosenborg BK
W W W W D

Head to Head

27 Jul 2026 eliteserien
Rosenborg BK 4 : 0 Fredrikstad
L

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