1
58%
Home Win
1.74
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
18%
Away Win
5.43
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.7 goals and Kristiansund BK an expected 0.8 goals. Fredrikstad have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Kristiansund BK at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
2:0
11.4%
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
8%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.4%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
4%
0:2
2.8%
4:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fredrikstad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | Kristiansund BK | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 13 |
| 42 | Points | 35 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Kristiansund BK Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
L
L
Kristiansund BK
L
L
L
D
