1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
26%
Away Win
3.78
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fredrikstad an expected 1.3 goals and HamKam an expected 0.9 goals. Fredrikstad have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and HamKam at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10.1%
0:1
9.6%
2:0
9.1%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
4.5%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
4.1%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fredrikstad Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Fredrikstad | HamKam | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 42 | Points | 37 |
| 37% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
Venue Form
Fredrikstad at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
HamKam Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Fredrikstad
L
L
HamKam
L
L
D
D
