1
87%
Home Win
1.15
X
4%
Draw
24.33
2
2%
Away Win
45.25
xG Home
5.00
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
87%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 5.0 goals and Sweden an expected 1.0 goals. France have a 87% win probability, draw stands at 4%, and Sweden at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 87%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
6.7%
4:1
6.5%
3:0
5.3%
3:1
5.2%
2:0
3.2%
4:2
3.1%
2:1
3.1%
3:2
2.5%
2:2
1.5%
1:0
1.3%
1:1
1.2%
4:3
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 87% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.15 |
| Market Odds | 1.22 |
Team Comparison
| France | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
