1
86%
Home Win
1.16
X
5%
Draw
19.42
2
3%
Away Win
31.75
xG Home
4.82
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 4.8 goals and Senegal an expected 1.1 goals. France have a 86% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Senegal at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:1
6.6%
4:0
6%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
5%
4:2
3.7%
2:1
3.4%
2:0
3.1%
3:2
3%
2:2
1.9%
1:1
1.4%
4:3
1.3%
1:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| France | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 3 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |