1
91%
Home Win
1.1
X
2%
Draw
63.29
2
0%
Away Win
100
xG Home
5.00
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 5.0 goals and Iraq an expected 0.3 goals. France have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Iraq at 0%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
13%
3:0
10.4%
2:0
6.2%
4:1
3.9%
3:1
3.1%
1:0
2.5%
2:1
1.9%
1:1
0.7%
4:2
0.6%
0:0
0.5%
3:2
0.5%
2:2
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| France | Iraq | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 9 | Points | 0 |
| 100% | Win % | 0% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 4 |