1
41%
Home Win
2.46
X
34%
Draw
2.92
2
25%
Away Win
3.97
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fluminense an expected 1.0 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 0.7 goals. Fluminense have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Borussia Dortmund at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
19.3%
1:0
18.5%
0:1
13.2%
1:1
12.7%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
6.1%
0:2
4.5%
1:2
4.4%
3:0
2.8%
2:2
2.1%
3:1
2%
0:3
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fluminense Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Fluminense | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |