1
49%
Home Win
2.06
X
23%
Draw
4.38
2
29%
Away Win
3.51
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flora Tallinn an expected 1.8 goals and Saburtalo an expected 1.4 goals. Flora Tallinn have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Saburtalo at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
7.6%
1:2
7%
2:0
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
5.6%
3:0
4.2%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flora Tallinn Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
