1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
17%
Draw
5.75
2
9%
Away Win
11.53
xG Home
2.17
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 2.2 goals and São Paulo FC an expected 0.6 goals. Flamengo have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and São Paulo FC at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.9%
1:0
13.7%
3:0
10.8%
2:1
8.8%
1:1
8.1%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
6.3%
4:0
5.9%
0:1
3.7%
4:1
3.5%
2:2
2.6%
1:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 79 | Points | 51 |
| 61% | Win % | 37% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
São Paulo FC Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
São Paulo FC
L
L
D
D
Head to Head
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Flamengo
L
Sao Paulo
2 : 2
Flamengo
D
Flamengo
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
L
