1
80%
Home Win
1.25
X
13%
Draw
7.56
2
6%
Away Win
15.58
xG Home
2.64
xG Away
0.62
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 2.6 goals and RB Bragantino an expected 0.6 goals. Flamengo have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and RB Bragantino at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.4%
3:0
11.8%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
8.3%
4:0
7.8%
3:1
7.3%
1:1
6.3%
4:1
4.8%
0:0
3.9%
2:2
2.6%
0:1
2.4%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 80% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.25 |
| Market Odds | 1.33 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 79 | Points | 48 |
| 61% | Win % | 37% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
RB Bragantino Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
RB Bragantino
D
L
W
