1
52%
Home Win
1.93
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
22%
Away Win
4.47
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 1.5 goals and Palmeiras an expected 0.9 goals. Flamengo have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Palmeiras at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
12.1%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.8%
0:1
8%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 79 | Points | 76 |
| 61% | Win % | 61% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Palmeiras Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
Palmeiras
D
W
Head to Head
Palmeiras
0 : 1
Flamengo
W
Flamengo
3 : 2
Palmeiras
L
Palmeiras
0 : 2
Flamengo
W