1
60%
Home Win
1.68
X
23%
Draw
4.39
2
18%
Away Win
5.67
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 1.8 goals and Mirassol an expected 0.9 goals. Flamengo have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Mirassol at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.5%
2:0
11.3%
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.8%
0:0
6.9%
3:0
6.8%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.9%
1:2
4.7%
2:2
4.2%
4:0
3.1%
4:1
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Mirassol | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 79 | Points | 67 |
| 61% | Win % | 47% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.66 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Mirassol Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
Mirassol
L
W
