1
84%
Home Win
1.19
X
13%
Draw
8
2
3%
Away Win
30.67
xG Home
2.40
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 2.4 goals and ES Tunis an expected 0.3 goals. Flamengo have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and ES Tunis at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
19.4%
1:0
16.1%
3:0
15.5%
4:0
9.3%
0:0
6.7%
2:1
5.8%
1:1
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
4:1
2.8%
0:1
2%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |