1
60%
Home Win
1.66
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
17%
Away Win
6.02
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 1.8 goals and Botafogo an expected 0.8 goals. Flamengo have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Botafogo at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.7%
2:0
12%
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.8%
3:0
7%
0:1
6.2%
3:1
5.6%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.8%
4:0
3.1%
0:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 79 | Points | 63 |
| 61% | Win % | 45% |
| 2.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Flamengo at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Flamengo
D
W
Botafogo
D
W
L
