1
22%
Home Win
4.55
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
53%
Away Win
1.87
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Flamengo an expected 1.0 goals and Bayern München an expected 1.6 goals. Flamengo have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Bayern München at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11.7%
0:2
10%
1:2
9.6%
0:0
7.4%
1:0
7.1%
2:1
5.6%
0:3
5.5%
1:3
5.3%
2:2
4.6%
2:0
3.4%
2:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Flamengo | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 4 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |