FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 30 Jul 2026 · UEFA Europa Conference League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.28
xG Away 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives FK Zalgiris Vilnius an expected 1.3 goals and Dinamo Tbilisi an expected 0.9 goals. FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Dinamo Tbilisi at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.8%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 10.8%
0:1 10.2%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.4%
1:2 6.2%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.6%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Dinamo Tbilisi Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Dinamo Tbilisi
W

Head to Head

23 Jul 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League
Dinamo Tbilisi 3 : 0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
L
01 Feb 2023 Friendlies Clubs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi
D